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Application of machine learning technologies for the candidate-wells selection for hydraulic fracturing

https://doi.org/10.31660/04450108-2026-2-64-73

EDN: HFYDLJ

Abstract

In the face of dwindling easily hydrocarbon reserves in Russia, optimization methods of stimulation inflow, specifically hydraulic fracturing, has become critically important. Unfortunately, traditional approach of candidate-well selection features the high subjectivity of expert assessment and the inability of conventional tabular criteria to account for hidden non-linear relationships between geological and technical parameters. Therein lies the key problem with it. This article aims to develop and validate an intelligent system for predicting hydraulic fracturing efficiency based on Big Data. The study uses machine learning implemented through a hybrid neural network architecture as a leading method. The proposed model combines fully connected layers for processing static reservoir characteristics with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) recurrent blocks for analysis of dynamic production time series. The empirical database includes data from over 2,000 hydraulic fracturing operations. The results of this study demonstrate that proposed algorithm has an advantage over traditional methods: the accuracy of classifying successful operations increased from 56% to 70%. The model showed high robustness in ranking objects by productivity potential, even with minor discrepancies in quantitative flow rate forecasting. The practical significance of this work lies in providing an effective decision-support tool. This tool will minimize the risks of inefficient investments and automates the pre-selection process. The implementation of such systems facilitates the digital transformation of the oil and gas industry within the "Industry 4.0" framework.

About the Author

A. V. Malysheva
Almetyevsk State Technological University "Petroleum Higher School"
Russian Federation

Anastasia V. Malysheva - Student, Member of the 3D Scanning Working Group of the Special Design and Technology Bureau.

Almetyevsk



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For citations:


Malysheva A.V. Application of machine learning technologies for the candidate-wells selection for hydraulic fracturing. Oil and Gas Studies. 2026;(2):64-73. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.31660/04450108-2026-2-64-73. EDN: HFYDLJ

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ISSN 0445-0108 (Print)
ISSN 3033-8174 (Online)